TJX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.4% | 3.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.9% | 1.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +2.2% | 4.8% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 1.19 | 1.36 | +14.5% | -4.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +17.2% | +1.5% | +5.7% | -2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.58 | +14.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +6.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 1.01 | 1.10 | +8.4% | +6.6% | +2.7% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -3.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.23 | +5.5% | +2.6% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.4% | +5.8% | +6.1% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.3% | +4.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 1.12 | 1.22 | +9.1% | +0.4% | +0.6% | -4.6% | +0.3% |
| 2023-11-15 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +3.8% | -2.9% | -3.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2023-08-16 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.7% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +0.9% | -2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.2% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -0.8% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +13.3% | -1.0% | +5.2% | +1.9% | -1.7% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.4% | -1.0% | +2.8% | -6.1% | -5.7% |
| 2022-05-18 beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +12.8% | +9.4% | +7.1% | +1.7% | -5.9% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.91 | 0.78 | -14.7% | -6.6% | -4.2% | +5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.1% | +10.5% | +5.8% | -2.8% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.