TRP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.4% | 2.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.8% | 5.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +11.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -9.1% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.1% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.2% | +0.7% | +3.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -0.7% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +7.9% | +8.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.7% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.5% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -2.0% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -3.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.4% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.1% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +7.6% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +7.8% | +2.8% | +3.3% | +2.7% | +2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.