TRP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 42% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.2% | 3.7% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +11.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -9.1% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.1% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.2% | +0.7% | +3.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -0.7% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +7.9% | +8.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.7% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.5% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -2.0% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -3.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.4% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.1% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +7.6% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +7.8% | +2.8% | +3.3% | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | 1.10 | 1.35 | +23.0% | +1.6% | +2.4% | -0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.5% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +5.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +1.6% | -0.4% | -4.5% | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.21 | +3.5% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +0.6% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +0.6% | +0.0% | +1.5% | -4.2% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +6.1% | -7.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -5.8% | -6.9% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.1% | -0.8% | -5.6% | +4.8% | +9.3% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +1.5% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -0.9% | +3.6% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.99 | 0.99 | -0.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -2.1% | -8.0% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.96 | 1.07 | +11.6% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +4.0% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 1.01 | 1.15 | +13.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -4.0% | +1.6% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.4% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +10.7% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.92 | -0.5% | -2.1% | -1.2% | +5.8% | +4.4% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 1.07 | 1.18 | +10.8% | -2.2% | -2.5% | +2.0% | +0.6% |
| 2020-02-13 miss | 1.03 | 1.03 | -0.2% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +3.3% | -30.9% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.6% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +1.8% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -2.0% | +4.4% |
| 2019-05-03 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +6.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +5.8% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.0% | +2.3% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.80 | 1.00 | +24.8% | +2.1% | +3.0% | +2.1% | +7.8% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.76 | 0.86 | +13.6% | -0.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 2018-04-27 beat | 0.85 | 0.98 | +15.2% | +2.3% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +8.9% | +1.7% | +5.1% | +2.0% | -7.0% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.1% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2017-07-28 beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.0% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2017-05-05 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.9% | +0.4% | +3.0% | -1.0% | +1.6% |
| 2017-02-16 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.3% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -4.1% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +15.0% | -3.6% | -4.8% | +4.0% | +2.6% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.6% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +0.8% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | 0.66 | 0.70 | +5.3% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -4.0% | -0.1% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.7% | -3.2% | +0.0% | +4.9% | +3.3% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.2% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -5.3% | -8.2% |
| 2015-07-31 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +8.2% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -5.3% | -11.0% |
| 2015-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.6% | -0.9% | -0.3% | -3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2015-02-13 beat | 0.63 | 0.72 | +14.5% | +1.8% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -5.4% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -4.0% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +9.6% |
| 2014-02-20 miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -3.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +8.8% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| 2013-07-26 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.6% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +2.5% | -5.0% |
| 2013-04-26 miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -4.3% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2013-02-12 miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.8% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2012-10-30 miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -4.4% | +0.9% | +1.8% | -1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2012-07-27 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.3% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2012-04-27 miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -4.4% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -2.1% | -5.9% |
| 2012-02-14 miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.0% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +5.0% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.7% | -3.9% | -3.9% | -1.4% | +2.5% |
| 2011-07-28 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.6% | -1.1% | -0.2% | -6.3% | +1.5% |
| 2011-04-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.3% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -0.5% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.