TRP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +1.0% | 2.5% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.9% | 4.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +11.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -9.1% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.1% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.2% | +0.7% | +3.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -0.7% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +7.9% | +8.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.7% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.5% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -2.0% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -3.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.4% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.1% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +7.6% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +7.8% | +2.8% | +3.3% | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | 1.10 | 1.35 | +23.0% | +1.6% | +2.4% | -0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.5% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +5.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +1.6% | -0.4% | -4.5% | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.21 | +3.5% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +0.6% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +0.6% | +0.0% | +1.5% | -4.2% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +6.1% | -7.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -5.8% | -6.9% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.1% | -0.8% | -5.6% | +4.8% | +9.3% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +1.5% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -0.9% | +3.6% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.99 | 0.99 | -0.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -2.1% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.