TXN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +2.0% | 9.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +3.4% | 10.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.94 | 2.14 | +10.5% | -5.7% | -3.1% | -2.2% | -7.2% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.68 | +22.8% | +10.2% | +19.4% | -0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 1.31 | 1.27 | -2.9% | +3.7% | +9.9% | +3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.4% | -9.3% | -5.6% | -6.1% | -10.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.8% | -9.3% | -13.3% | +1.8% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.8% | +8.2% | +6.6% | -2.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.20 | 1.30 | +8.3% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -0.5% | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.47 | +7.1% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.19 | 1.17 | -1.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.4% | +7.7% | +5.6% | +0.2% | +12.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.