TXN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 5.5% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.4% | 6.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.94 | 2.14 | +10.5% | -5.7% | -3.1% | -2.2% | -7.2% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.68 | +22.8% | +10.2% | +19.4% | -0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 1.31 | 1.27 | -2.9% | +3.7% | +9.9% | +3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.4% | -9.3% | -5.6% | -6.1% | -10.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.8% | -9.3% | -13.3% | +1.8% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.8% | +8.2% | +6.6% | -2.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.20 | 1.30 | +8.3% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -0.5% | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.47 | +7.1% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.19 | 1.17 | -1.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.4% | +7.7% | +5.6% | +0.2% | +12.9% |
| 2024-01-23 miss | 1.49 | 1.46 | -2.1% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -3.8% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.84 | 1.85 | +0.3% | -3.7% | -3.5% | +1.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.8% | -4.9% | -5.4% | -2.0% | -5.9% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.80 | 1.85 | +2.5% | +0.9% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.03 | 2.19 | +7.9% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.42 | 2.56 | +5.6% | -5.9% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.15 | 2.52 | +17.3% | +3.7% | +6.7% | +7.0% | +3.4% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.17 | 2.35 | +8.1% | -4.7% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 1.96 | 2.33 | +19.0% | +4.8% | +2.5% | +5.3% | -4.2% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.12 | +1.6% | -5.8% | -5.0% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.85 | 2.10 | +13.6% | -4.4% | -5.3% | +3.2% | +0.6% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.61 | 1.92 | +19.4% | -4.5% | -4.4% | -0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 1.34 | 1.86 | +38.0% | -2.9% | -5.0% | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 1.29 | 1.50 | +16.4% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -2.1% | +7.6% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.57 | +71.2% | -0.6% | -2.2% | -0.7% | +4.6% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 1.02 | 1.30 | +27.6% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +1.3% |
| 2020-01-22 beat | 1.04 | 1.17 | +12.8% | -1.4% | +0.7% | -7.3% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 1.42 | 1.49 | +5.2% | -9.2% | -7.5% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 1.22 | 1.36 | +11.6% | +5.4% | +7.4% | -3.1% | -2.9% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 1.17 | 1.29 | +10.5% | -1.2% | +1.8% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 1.27 | 1.33 | +4.4% | +2.6% | +6.9% | -1.4% | +6.0% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.9% | -7.0% | -8.2% | +0.9% | +3.4% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 1.35 | 1.45 | +7.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -0.7% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 1.15 | 1.29 | +11.8% | +3.1% | +4.7% | +0.0% | +7.5% |
| 2018-01-23 miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.1% | -7.3% | -8.5% | +0.0% | -2.4% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.31 | +12.5% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +3.6% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +10.3% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.83 | 0.97 | +16.9% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -0.4% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.4% | +0.8% | +1.9% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +8.9% | -0.4% | -1.4% | -4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2016-07-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +4.9% | +6.7% | +7.9% | -3.6% | -2.1% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.7% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -3.5% | +4.0% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +10.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +3.7% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +12.9% | +8.1% | +11.9% | -2.6% | +0.1% |
| 2015-07-22 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -0.8% | +1.1% | +2.5% | -0.5% | -9.0% |
| 2015-04-22 miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.1% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +9.8% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +8.4% |
| 2014-10-20 beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +9.2% | +2.5% | +5.3% | +3.7% | +11.1% |
| 2014-07-21 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -4.8% | -2.5% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -1.4% | +2.8% | +4.3% | -6.7% | -4.6% |
| 2014-01-21 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.2% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -5.0% | -1.0% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +12.0% | -2.0% | -1.7% | +3.7% | +4.1% |
| 2013-07-22 beat | 0.41 | 0.58 | +40.7% | +3.3% | +4.0% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +30.0% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.8% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.8% | +3.3% |
| 2012-10-22 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.9% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +4.9% | +6.4% |
| 2012-07-23 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.1% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +2.5% | +10.6% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +11.9% | +2.6% | -1.7% | +1.6% | -7.1% |
| 2012-01-23 beat | 0.39 | 0.53 | +36.9% | +0.5% | -2.0% | -0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.5% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -3.6% | -9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.