TXN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -1.8% | 7.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.2% | 8.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.94 | 2.14 | +10.5% | -5.7% | -3.1% | -2.2% | -7.2% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.68 | +22.8% | +10.2% | +19.4% | -0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 1.31 | 1.27 | -2.9% | +3.7% | +9.9% | +3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.4% | -9.3% | -5.6% | -6.1% | -10.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.8% | -9.3% | -13.3% | +1.8% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.8% | +8.2% | +6.6% | -2.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.20 | 1.30 | +8.3% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -0.5% | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.47 | +7.1% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.19 | 1.17 | -1.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.4% | +7.7% | +5.6% | +0.2% | +12.9% |
| 2024-01-23 miss | 1.49 | 1.46 | -2.1% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -3.8% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.84 | 1.85 | +0.3% | -3.7% | -3.5% | +1.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.8% | -4.9% | -5.4% | -2.0% | -5.9% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.80 | 1.85 | +2.5% | +0.9% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.03 | 2.19 | +7.9% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.42 | 2.56 | +5.6% | -5.9% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.15 | 2.52 | +17.3% | +3.7% | +6.7% | +7.0% | +3.4% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.17 | 2.35 | +8.1% | -4.7% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 1.96 | 2.33 | +19.0% | +4.8% | +2.5% | +5.3% | -4.2% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.12 | +1.6% | -5.8% | -5.0% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.