UAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | -1.3% | 15.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | +0.5% | 5.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -2.4% | -1.1% | 4.2% | 10% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.0% | 15.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +192.6% | -4.7% | -4.5% | -12.3% | -17.2% |
| 2026-05-12 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -67.6% | -14.5% | -17.0% | +2.2% | +19.5% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.09 | +721.1% | +2.2% | +20.4% | -4.9% | -11.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +65.8% | -1.7% | -1.3% | +2.4% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-08 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -21.6% | -20.5% | -18.1% | -5.0% | -7.4% |
| 2025-05-13 miss | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.6% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +6.4% | +9.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +139.0% | +2.7% | -7.8% | -4.2% | -4.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.30 | +54.8% | +19.0% | +27.2% | -11.5% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +112.1% | +15.6% | +19.2% | +5.4% | -3.2% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +45.7% | -8.1% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.