UAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 11.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.5% | 4.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -0.9% | 3.8% | 37% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | +0.5% | 14.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +192.6% | -4.7% | -4.5% | -12.3% | -17.2% |
| 2026-05-12 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -67.6% | -14.5% | -17.0% | +2.2% | +19.5% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.09 | +721.1% | +2.2% | +20.4% | -4.9% | -11.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +65.8% | -1.7% | -1.3% | +2.4% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-08 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -21.6% | -20.5% | -18.1% | -5.0% | -7.4% |
| 2025-05-13 miss | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.6% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +6.4% | +9.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +139.0% | +2.7% | -7.8% | -4.2% | -4.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.30 | +54.8% | +19.0% | +27.2% | -11.5% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +112.1% | +15.6% | +19.2% | +5.4% | -3.2% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +45.7% | -8.1% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +75.3% | +6.6% | +0.1% | +7.1% | +7.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +17.9% | -1.4% | +2.9% | +6.2% | +14.0% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +187.6% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -6.1% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +23.0% | -6.8% | -5.7% | -10.2% | -7.8% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +75.2% | +1.0% | -8.2% | -3.7% | -20.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +23.8% | +5.8% | +12.0% | +8.8% | +21.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +15.6% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +4.6% | -10.8% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +104.6% | -4.7% | -12.5% | -5.5% | -7.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.15 | 0.31 | +107.7% | +14.6% | +16.5% | -3.3% | -8.2% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.06 | 0.24 | +298.1% | +4.4% | +7.5% | +12.8% | +2.0% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +336.3% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -7.2% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | -0.06 | 0.12 | +293.1% | +10.4% | +8.3% | -0.8% | +4.1% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.03 | 0.26 | +907.4% | +10.3% | +0.4% | +7.0% | +19.5% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | -0.40 | -0.31 | +23.1% | -1.4% | -8.1% | -1.8% | -6.7% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | -0.19 | -0.34 | -81.4% | -9.4% | -9.7% | -8.7% | +16.6% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -3.1% | -16.5% | -18.9% | -0.1% | -41.6% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +22.1% | -15.7% | -18.9% | +2.5% | +8.6% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +25.4% | -16.8% | -12.2% | -11.7% | -24.4% |
| 2019-05-02 | — | 0.05 | — | +8.7% | +3.5% | -3.1% | +3.3% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +103.1% | -2.9% | +6.9% | -4.2% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.