UI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.5% | +8.5% | 15.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.9% | +3.5% | 7.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +1.3% | 4.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +7.2% | +16.6% | 25.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 4.03 | 4.73 | +17.3% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 4.29 | 3.88 | -9.5% | -6.1% | -9.1% | -26.0% | -33.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.08 | 3.88 | +26.1% | +5.0% | +8.0% | +15.7% | +23.7% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 2.93 | 3.46 | +18.3% | -7.8% | -19.4% | -8.8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-08-22 beat | 2.23 | 3.54 | +58.7% | +15.9% | +30.6% | +3.5% | +28.5% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 1.97 | 3.01 | +52.5% | +3.9% | +17.1% | +5.5% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 2.14 | 2.28 | +6.3% | +2.3% | -8.6% | -12.5% | -22.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 1.63 | 2.14 | +30.9% | +8.5% | +19.8% | +7.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-23 beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.3% | -5.5% | +9.8% | -0.2% | +13.4% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 1.56 | 1.28 | -17.5% | +1.7% | +9.0% | +15.1% | +14.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.