UI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +3.4% | 14.5% | 54% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 4.5% | 54% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 47% |
| 5-day | +3.4% | +5.9% | 18.3% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 4.03 | 4.73 | +17.3% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 4.29 | 3.88 | -9.5% | -6.1% | -9.1% | -26.0% | -33.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.08 | 3.88 | +26.1% | +5.0% | +8.0% | +15.7% | +23.7% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 2.93 | 3.46 | +18.3% | -7.8% | -19.4% | -8.8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-08-22 beat | 2.23 | 3.54 | +58.7% | +15.9% | +30.6% | +3.5% | +28.5% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 1.97 | 3.01 | +52.5% | +3.9% | +17.1% | +5.5% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 2.14 | 2.28 | +6.3% | +2.3% | -8.6% | -12.5% | -22.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 1.63 | 2.14 | +30.9% | +8.5% | +19.8% | +7.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-23 beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.3% | -5.5% | +9.8% | -0.2% | +13.4% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 1.56 | 1.28 | -17.5% | +1.7% | +9.0% | +15.1% | +14.8% |
| 2024-02-09 miss | 1.64 | 1.38 | -15.8% | -2.8% | -7.7% | +8.1% | -1.2% |
| 2023-11-03 miss | 1.90 | 1.47 | -22.8% | -7.3% | -14.7% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2023-08-25 miss | 1.80 | 1.73 | -3.9% | +2.4% | +15.3% | -0.2% | -21.6% |
| 2023-05-05 miss | 1.96 | 1.65 | -15.9% | -1.2% | -9.4% | -13.0% | -17.6% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 1.29 | 1.87 | +44.9% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -1.6% | -5.4% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 1.80 | 1.55 | -14.0% | -1.8% | -8.6% | -3.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-26 beat | 1.21 | 1.54 | +27.8% | +3.5% | -0.9% | -4.3% | -8.9% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 1.79 | 0.83 | -53.5% | -9.0% | -15.6% | +3.0% | +18.3% |
| 2022-02-04 miss | 2.29 | 1.66 | -27.4% | -4.3% | -10.7% | +1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 2.62 | 2.12 | -19.1% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -6.9% |
| 2021-08-27 beat | 1.95 | 2.47 | +26.7% | +8.3% | +7.1% | +3.0% | -7.6% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 2.17 | 2.30 | +5.8% | +1.3% | +5.3% | +1.2% | +14.1% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.77 | 2.53 | +42.9% | +9.7% | +8.0% | +4.4% | -2.0% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 1.45 | 2.47 | +70.0% | +10.2% | +24.0% | +3.2% | +8.8% |
| 2020-08-21 beat | 1.37 | 1.46 | +6.6% | -3.6% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -16.2% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | 1.35 | 1.61 | +19.5% | +10.0% | +17.8% | -8.3% | -3.7% |
| 2020-02-07 miss | 1.46 | 1.40 | -4.1% | -14.8% | -15.1% | -0.1% | -6.4% |
| 2019-11-08 beat | 1.29 | 1.44 | +11.8% | +13.9% | +36.0% | +6.5% | +8.9% |
| 2019-08-09 beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +2.7% | -7.5% | -4.9% | -3.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019-05-10 beat | 1.10 | 1.26 | +14.6% | -5.7% | -10.9% | -8.1% | -6.3% |
| 2019-02-08 beat | 1.03 | 1.33 | +29.4% | +12.3% | +16.1% | +9.4% | +14.4% |
| 2018-11-09 beat | 1.01 | 1.17 | +16.1% | +5.3% | +17.5% | +0.3% | +1.6% |
| 2018-08-24 miss | 1.01 | 1.01 | -0.4% | -2.1% | +0.1% | +8.0% | +19.1% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.4% | -1.8% | +11.0% | -0.6% | +6.5% |
| 2018-02-08 miss | 0.89 | 0.76 | -14.6% | -10.8% | -14.1% | +11.6% | +3.5% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.82 | 0.92 | +11.9% | -6.0% | -3.8% | +3.3% | +0.9% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.7% | +19.1% | +16.6% | +2.4% | -6.2% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +3.0% | -1.7% | -5.9% | +1.1% | +6.2% |
| 2017-02-09 miss | 0.77 | 0.72 | -6.2% | -10.1% | -16.7% | -7.8% | -4.5% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.69 | 0.79 | +14.2% | +9.4% | +3.4% | -0.1% | +4.4% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.3% | +5.6% | +10.1% | +1.3% | +6.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.4% | +9.1% | +7.2% | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +13.3% | +20.6% | +6.0% | +6.4% | +9.2% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.0% | +14.6% | +13.7% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.4% | -7.8% | -1.3% | +3.4% | +13.1% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.1% | -10.1% | +0.2% | +5.7% | +10.9% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +10.8% | +11.3% | +14.3% | -4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 0.53 | 0.48 | -8.9% | -17.7% | -16.9% | +3.3% | +1.0% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.9% | +6.8% | +7.0% | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.4% | -17.1% | -24.1% | +9.7% | +27.1% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.8% | +9.9% | +3.7% | +6.8% | +15.8% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.9% | +16.1% | +10.9% | +6.8% | -5.8% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +22.4% | +32.1% | +24.5% | +11.6% | +30.5% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +10.4% | +19.5% | +18.6% | +6.8% | -15.0% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.8% | +12.0% | +5.9% | -7.6% | -14.7% |
| 2012-11-08 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.2% | +0.0% | +10.4% | +6.9% | +7.0% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.4% | -40.4% | -42.0% | -0.7% | +50.4% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +10.4% | -6.1% | -17.4% | -9.9% | -38.9% |
| 2012-01-31 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +10.3% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.