UI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -4.5% | 13.5% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.4% | 6.3% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 3.9% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -3.7% | 19.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 4.03 | 4.73 | +17.3% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 4.29 | 3.88 | -9.5% | -6.1% | -9.1% | -26.0% | -33.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.08 | 3.88 | +26.1% | +5.0% | +8.0% | +15.7% | +23.7% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 2.93 | 3.46 | +18.3% | -7.8% | -19.4% | -8.8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-08-22 beat | 2.23 | 3.54 | +58.7% | +15.9% | +30.6% | +3.5% | +28.5% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 1.97 | 3.01 | +52.5% | +3.9% | +17.1% | +5.5% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 2.14 | 2.28 | +6.3% | +2.3% | -8.6% | -12.5% | -22.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 1.63 | 2.14 | +30.9% | +8.5% | +19.8% | +7.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-23 beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.3% | -5.5% | +9.8% | -0.2% | +13.4% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 1.56 | 1.28 | -17.5% | +1.7% | +9.0% | +15.1% | +14.8% |
| 2024-02-09 miss | 1.64 | 1.38 | -15.8% | -2.8% | -7.7% | +8.1% | -1.2% |
| 2023-11-03 miss | 1.90 | 1.47 | -22.8% | -7.3% | -14.7% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2023-08-25 miss | 1.80 | 1.73 | -3.9% | +2.4% | +15.3% | -0.2% | -21.6% |
| 2023-05-05 miss | 1.96 | 1.65 | -15.9% | -1.2% | -9.4% | -13.0% | -17.6% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 1.29 | 1.87 | +44.9% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -1.6% | -5.4% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 1.80 | 1.55 | -14.0% | -1.8% | -8.6% | -3.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-26 beat | 1.21 | 1.54 | +27.8% | +3.5% | -0.9% | -4.3% | -8.9% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 1.79 | 0.83 | -53.5% | -9.0% | -15.6% | +3.0% | +18.3% |
| 2022-02-04 miss | 2.29 | 1.66 | -27.4% | -4.3% | -10.7% | +1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 2.62 | 2.12 | -19.1% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.