USB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 63% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.9% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.9% | 5.1% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +5.0% | +0.0% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.4% | -1.1% | -1.6% | +2.1% | -4.3% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +6.0% | -1.0% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +6.5% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 1.12 | 1.22 | +9.0% | +1.7% | -1.7% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +4.1% | -3.3% | -1.0% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.97 | 1.03 | +5.7% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +5.9% | +18.8% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 1.05 | 1.07 | +1.7% | -5.9% | -5.6% | +2.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +4.0% | +3.7% | +4.7% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.3% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -1.1% | -5.4% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.6% | +1.4% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2024-01-17 miss | 0.91 | 0.49 | -46.0% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +4.1% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.01 | 0.91 | -9.7% | -0.7% | -4.4% | -6.2% | +11.8% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 1.10 | 0.84 | -23.5% | -0.5% | +6.5% | -0.1% | -5.4% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 1.12 | 1.04 | -7.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% | -12.5% | -15.3% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 1.14 | 0.57 | -49.8% | +0.5% | +5.3% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2022-10-14 beat | 1.16 | 1.16 | +0.4% | +1.9% | +3.4% | -5.3% | +2.5% |
| 2022-07-15 miss | 1.07 | 0.99 | -7.5% | +2.8% | +5.2% | +2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2022-04-14 beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.1% | +2.6% | +4.1% | -3.6% | -8.4% |
| 2022-01-19 miss | 1.10 | 1.07 | -2.5% | -6.4% | -7.8% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2021-10-14 beat | 1.16 | 1.30 | +12.4% | -2.4% | -2.2% | +3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2021-07-15 beat | 1.13 | 1.28 | +12.9% | -0.6% | +3.2% | -5.1% | -1.0% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 0.96 | 1.45 | +51.4% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -0.3% | +9.9% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.5% | -2.2% | -5.2% | -6.1% | +9.7% |
| 2020-10-14 beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +9.2% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +1.5% | +11.9% |
| 2020-07-15 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.6% | +5.2% | +3.7% | -3.7% | -0.7% |
| 2020-04-15 miss | 0.81 | 0.72 | -10.8% | -1.9% | -6.9% | -0.2% | -6.5% |
| 2020-01-15 miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -0.6% | -2.0% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.6% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +7.3% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +2.3% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +4.4% | -5.4% |
| 2019-04-17 miss | 1.00 | 1.00 | -0.2% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.