VRTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 6.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | +0.6% | 7.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 miss | 4.75 | 4.73 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +10.6% | +16.3% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 4.31 | 4.47 | +3.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +5.6% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 5.15 | 5.03 | -2.3% | +1.4% | +5.7% | -2.1% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 4.58 | 4.80 | +4.9% | -1.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +8.5% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 4.25 | 4.52 | +6.3% | -13.6% | -20.6% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 4.29 | 4.06 | -5.4% | -6.9% | -10.0% | -4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 4.02 | 3.98 | -1.0% | -2.2% | -3.1% | +3.6% | +10.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 4.13 | 4.38 | +6.0% | +2.2% | +5.7% | -2.0% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -11.75 | -12.83 | -9.2% | -2.8% | -2.2% | -5.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 4.06 | 4.76 | +17.3% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +18.4% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 4.09 | 4.20 | +2.8% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 3.97 | 4.08 | +2.7% | -2.2% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -6.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -3.7% | -2.8% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 3.00 | 3.05 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 3.51 | 3.76 | +7.0% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 3.64 | 4.01 | +10.1% | +4.9% | +9.0% | -1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 3.50 | 3.60 | +2.8% | -0.6% | +4.8% | +2.3% | -3.1% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 3.54 | 3.52 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -4.7% | -2.8% | +7.1% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 3.29 | 3.37 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.7% | +6.8% | +0.8% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 3.07 | 3.56 | +15.8% | +3.4% | +4.2% | -0.6% | +7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.