VRTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.3% | -1.1% | 7.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 1.4% | 20% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | +2.1% | 9.4% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 miss | 4.75 | 4.73 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +10.6% | +16.3% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 4.31 | 4.47 | +3.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +5.6% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 5.15 | 5.03 | -2.3% | +1.4% | +5.7% | -2.1% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 4.58 | 4.80 | +4.9% | -1.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +8.5% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 4.25 | 4.52 | +6.3% | -13.6% | -20.6% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 4.29 | 4.06 | -5.4% | -6.9% | -10.0% | -4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 4.02 | 3.98 | -1.0% | -2.2% | -3.1% | +3.6% | +10.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 4.13 | 4.38 | +6.0% | +2.2% | +5.7% | -2.0% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -11.75 | -12.83 | -9.2% | -2.8% | -2.2% | -5.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 4.06 | 4.76 | +17.3% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +18.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.