VRTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 4.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 2.7% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 47% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.8% | 6.5% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 miss | 4.75 | 4.73 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +10.6% | +16.3% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 4.31 | 4.47 | +3.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +5.6% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 5.15 | 5.03 | -2.3% | +1.4% | +5.7% | -2.1% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 4.58 | 4.80 | +4.9% | -1.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +8.5% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 4.25 | 4.52 | +6.3% | -13.6% | -20.6% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 4.29 | 4.06 | -5.4% | -6.9% | -10.0% | -4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 4.02 | 3.98 | -1.0% | -2.2% | -3.1% | +3.6% | +10.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 4.13 | 4.38 | +6.0% | +2.2% | +5.7% | -2.0% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -11.75 | -12.83 | -9.2% | -2.8% | -2.2% | -5.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 4.06 | 4.76 | +17.3% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +18.4% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 4.09 | 4.20 | +2.8% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 3.97 | 4.08 | +2.7% | -2.2% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -6.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -3.7% | -2.8% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 3.00 | 3.05 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 3.51 | 3.76 | +7.0% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 3.64 | 4.01 | +10.1% | +4.9% | +9.0% | -1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 3.50 | 3.60 | +2.8% | -0.6% | +4.8% | +2.3% | -3.1% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 3.54 | 3.52 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -4.7% | -2.8% | +7.1% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 3.29 | 3.37 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.7% | +6.8% | +0.8% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 3.07 | 3.56 | +15.8% | +3.4% | +4.2% | -0.6% | +7.8% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 2.38 | 3.11 | +30.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 2.69 | 2.98 | +10.8% | +0.7% | +3.0% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2021-02-01 miss | 2.55 | 2.51 | -1.6% | -2.6% | -6.2% | -1.6% | -4.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.33 | 2.64 | +13.3% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +5.7% | +10.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 2.08 | 2.61 | +25.2% | -0.2% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.85 | 2.56 | +38.6% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +7.5% | +14.1% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.22 | 1.70 | +39.9% | +3.6% | -1.4% | +5.7% | +0.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.23 | +5.7% | -1.1% | -1.9% | +0.2% | +12.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.07 | 1.26 | +17.3% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +2.0% | +0.4% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.14 | +13.1% | -0.1% | +2.1% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 1.06 | 1.30 | +22.2% | +3.2% | -2.5% | +1.6% | -2.8% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.09 | +8.0% | -3.7% | +1.5% | +5.8% | +1.1% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 0.75 | 0.94 | +25.9% | +1.0% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.9% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -4.3% | -0.5% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +13.6% | +4.3% | +3.7% | -12.4% | +0.1% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.53 | +44.0% | -1.3% | -2.1% | +0.8% | +3.3% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.1% | -1.6% | -4.4% | -1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.9% | +1.8% | +0.7% | -2.9% | +1.8% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +21.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +4.2% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -14.8% | +4.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +11.5% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +17.2% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +4.2% | +0.9% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | 0.28 | 0.09 | -67.7% | -3.9% | +2.7% | -3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +8.5% | -1.6% | +0.3% | -1.1% | -7.8% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | -0.27 | -0.13 | +52.3% | +5.4% | +5.1% | -3.4% | +2.5% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | -0.58 | -0.54 | +7.6% | +0.4% | +7.8% | +2.9% | -1.0% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | -0.57 | -0.62 | -9.2% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +2.9% |
| 2015-01-28 miss | -0.46 | -0.55 | -19.2% | -7.3% | -5.9% | -2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | -0.43 | -0.37 | +14.8% | -0.2% | -3.6% | +1.5% | +7.3% |
| 2014-07-29 miss | -0.54 | -0.61 | -13.5% | -2.2% | -3.7% | -5.7% | +0.9% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | -0.64 | -0.65 | -2.2% | +0.6% | -3.7% | -2.0% | +9.9% |
| 2014-01-29 miss | -0.49 | -1.21 | -145.4% | +2.5% | +4.2% | -4.8% | -0.7% |
| 2013-10-29 miss | -0.16 | -0.32 | -102.7% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -14.1% | -10.2% |
| 2013-07-29 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +50.5% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -5.6% | -7.3% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | -0.06 | 0.03 | +147.5% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +4.6% |
| 2013-01-29 miss | 0.10 | 0.04 | -58.3% | +0.3% | -3.8% | +2.7% | +3.4% |
| 2012-11-01 miss | 0.34 | 0.13 | -61.9% | -9.8% | -10.8% | +0.0% | -12.3% |
| 2012-07-30 miss | 0.68 | 0.46 | -32.6% | -0.4% | -2.9% | +6.2% | +9.9% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -6.3% | -1.7% | +2.9% | -3.1% | +49.7% |
| 2012-02-02 miss | 0.85 | 0.72 | -15.8% | -2.2% | -4.2% | -1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.56 | +110.8% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -11.9% | -34.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.