WAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.6% | +2.2% | 9.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +4.6% | +6.9% | 11.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.01 | 3.05 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +5.7% | +4.8% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.31 | 2.70 | +17.0% | +12.0% | +13.5% | +2.8% | +9.8% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.5% | -12.9% | -13.9% | -2.0% | -9.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 3.22 | 3.40 | +5.5% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +5.1% | +7.9% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 2.94 | 2.95 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +5.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 4.03 | 4.10 | +1.7% | -4.2% | -5.8% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.68 | 2.93 | +9.4% | +16.1% | +19.8% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.56 | 2.63 | +2.6% | +7.2% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.5% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +10.1% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.