WAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 6.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 1.9% | 42% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.1% | 7.5% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.01 | 3.05 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +5.7% | +4.8% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.31 | 2.70 | +17.0% | +12.0% | +13.5% | +2.8% | +9.8% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.5% | -12.9% | -13.9% | -2.0% | -9.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 3.22 | 3.40 | +5.5% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +5.1% | +7.9% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 2.94 | 2.95 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +5.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 4.03 | 4.10 | +1.7% | -4.2% | -5.8% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.68 | 2.93 | +9.4% | +16.1% | +19.8% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.56 | 2.63 | +2.6% | +7.2% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.5% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +10.1% | -7.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 3.55 | 3.62 | +1.9% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -5.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.55 | 2.84 | +11.3% | -4.0% | +3.4% | -0.8% | +12.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.59 | 2.80 | +8.1% | +2.8% | +6.3% | +0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 2.62 | 2.49 | -5.1% | -9.6% | -6.7% | -3.8% | -9.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 3.74 | 3.84 | +2.6% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.58 | 2.64 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +12.8% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.67 | 2.75 | +3.1% | -5.6% | -6.8% | -4.9% | -12.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.34 | 2.80 | +19.8% | +3.5% | +8.1% | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 3.49 | 3.67 | +5.3% | +3.9% | +1.1% | +1.6% | -0.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 2.36 | 2.66 | +12.7% | -4.0% | -4.3% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.28 | 2.60 | +13.8% | -0.8% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +6.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.57 | 2.29 | +46.0% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 2.90 | 3.65 | +25.8% | +5.7% | +8.4% | -3.0% | -10.2% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.92 | 2.16 | +12.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 1.56 | 2.10 | +34.9% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -6.0% | -3.3% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 1.44 | 1.15 | -20.0% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 3.01 | 3.20 | +6.3% | -5.1% | -3.1% | +1.9% | -9.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.13 | 2.13 | +0.2% | -6.5% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.14 | +1.3% | -4.2% | -2.7% | -1.7% | -3.3% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 1.73 | 1.60 | -7.4% | -16.0% | -12.3% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 2.64 | 2.87 | +8.6% | +10.0% | +12.7% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 1.90 | 1.92 | +0.9% | -8.1% | -2.6% | +4.2% | +8.0% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 1.92 | 1.95 | +1.6% | -1.0% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -4.8% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 1.55 | 1.59 | +2.5% | -8.2% | -7.8% | -2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2018-01-23 beat | 2.45 | 2.51 | +2.3% | +1.7% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -3.1% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 1.75 | 1.77 | +1.4% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.76 | +2.7% | -4.4% | -5.4% | +0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 1.34 | 1.46 | +9.3% | +4.2% | +7.0% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 2.13 | 2.21 | +3.7% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +9.0% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 1.58 | 1.57 | -0.4% | -6.6% | -12.1% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 1.45 | 1.58 | +8.8% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +1.4% | +1.9% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.24 | 1.26 | +1.9% | +0.6% | -3.1% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 1.96 | 1.96 | +0.2% | -2.3% | -4.0% | -3.7% | -0.6% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.7% | +2.0% | +2.3% | +4.6% | +4.9% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +3.8% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +3.0% | -6.1% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 1.02 | 1.21 | +19.1% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +7.2% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 1.88 | 1.99 | +5.8% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 1.29 | 1.38 | +7.3% | +2.8% | +9.9% | +2.6% | +6.7% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 1.21 | 1.22 | +0.8% | +3.6% | +5.8% | -1.9% | -3.6% |
| 2014-04-29 miss | 1.11 | 0.92 | -17.3% | -4.0% | -8.5% | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 1.61 | 1.70 | +5.5% | +5.9% | +7.3% | -4.7% | +1.6% |
| 2013-10-22 miss | 1.23 | 1.19 | -2.9% | -4.2% | -6.0% | +2.3% | +0.6% |
| 2013-07-23 miss | 1.21 | 1.08 | -11.0% | -6.8% | -5.9% | +1.4% | -0.6% |
| 2013-04-23 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -1.5% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +0.3% | +5.0% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 1.59 | 1.59 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 1.18 | 1.18 | +0.0% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +6.7% | +5.6% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.2% | -1.1% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2012-04-24 miss | 1.09 | 1.00 | -8.2% | -9.9% | -7.4% | +2.6% | +0.4% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.2% | -0.5% | +8.0% | +1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 1.13 | 1.14 | +1.1% | -4.6% | -5.1% | -2.6% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.