WAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 7.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -1.4% | 8.4% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.01 | 3.05 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +5.7% | +4.8% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.31 | 2.70 | +17.0% | +12.0% | +13.5% | +2.8% | +9.8% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.5% | -12.9% | -13.9% | -2.0% | -9.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 3.22 | 3.40 | +5.5% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +5.1% | +7.9% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 2.94 | 2.95 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +5.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 4.03 | 4.10 | +1.7% | -4.2% | -5.8% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.68 | 2.93 | +9.4% | +16.1% | +19.8% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.56 | 2.63 | +2.6% | +7.2% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.5% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +10.1% | -7.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 3.55 | 3.62 | +1.9% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -5.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.55 | 2.84 | +11.3% | -4.0% | +3.4% | -0.8% | +12.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.59 | 2.80 | +8.1% | +2.8% | +6.3% | +0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 2.62 | 2.49 | -5.1% | -9.6% | -6.7% | -3.8% | -9.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 3.74 | 3.84 | +2.6% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.58 | 2.64 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +12.8% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.67 | 2.75 | +3.1% | -5.6% | -6.8% | -4.9% | -12.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.34 | 2.80 | +19.8% | +3.5% | +8.1% | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 3.49 | 3.67 | +5.3% | +3.9% | +1.1% | +1.6% | -0.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 2.36 | 2.66 | +12.7% | -4.0% | -4.3% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.28 | 2.60 | +13.8% | -0.8% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +6.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.57 | 2.29 | +46.0% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 2.90 | 3.65 | +25.8% | +5.7% | +8.4% | -3.0% | -10.2% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.92 | 2.16 | +12.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 1.56 | 2.10 | +34.9% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -6.0% | -3.3% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 1.44 | 1.15 | -20.0% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 3.01 | 3.20 | +6.3% | -5.1% | -3.1% | +1.9% | -9.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.13 | 2.13 | +0.2% | -6.5% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.14 | +1.3% | -4.2% | -2.7% | -1.7% | -3.3% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 1.73 | 1.60 | -7.4% | -16.0% | -12.3% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.