WM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.5% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.2% | 1.8% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.2% | 70% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -1.9% | 4.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +2.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -8.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.74 | 1.81 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -4.3% | -8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.95 | 1.93 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.7% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 2.01 | 1.98 | -1.6% | -6.9% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.89 | 1.92 | +1.8% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -2.5% | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.59 | 1.67 | +5.3% | -2.2% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 1.80 | 1.70 | -5.7% | +2.8% | +6.1% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.88 | 1.96 | +4.0% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 1.83 | 1.82 | -0.6% | -6.7% | -8.0% | +3.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.75 | +16.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -2.6% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.