WM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.1% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.9% | 4.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +2.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -8.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.74 | 1.81 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -4.3% | -8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.95 | 1.93 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.7% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 2.01 | 1.98 | -1.6% | -6.9% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.89 | 1.92 | +1.8% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -2.5% | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.59 | 1.67 | +5.3% | -2.2% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 1.80 | 1.70 | -5.7% | +2.8% | +6.1% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.88 | 1.96 | +4.0% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 1.83 | 1.82 | -0.6% | -6.7% | -8.0% | +3.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.75 | +16.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 1.53 | 1.74 | +13.7% | +4.5% | +6.0% | +2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.61 | 1.63 | +0.9% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +0.0% | +4.8% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 1.55 | 1.51 | -2.4% | -2.9% | -4.0% | -0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 1.42 | 1.30 | -8.6% | -3.0% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.6% | +1.1% | -3.1% | -3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.39 | 1.44 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +4.3% | +9.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.29 | +13.1% | +6.2% | +5.3% | -2.9% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.4% | -4.5% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 1.36 | 1.26 | -7.5% | -2.1% | -1.2% | +1.2% | +4.0% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +7.1% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +4.8% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 1.09 | 1.13 | +3.7% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -1.0% | +7.2% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 1.02 | 1.09 | +7.0% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +9.3% | +5.8% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +9.3% | -1.0% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +4.2% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.2% | +1.5% | -2.2% | -0.3% | +15.9% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.2% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +0.3% | -19.6% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.9% | -0.2% | -3.0% | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.8% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +1.4% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 1.06 | 1.13 | +6.2% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.8% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +1.8% | +1.4% | +7.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% |
| 2018-04-20 beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +9.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.1% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.6% | +1.4% | +4.9% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2017-07-26 miss | 0.81 | 0.81 | -0.5% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.6% | -0.2% | -2.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2017-02-16 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.4% | -2.4% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +2.0% | -0.5% | +9.5% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +3.8% | +0.7% | -1.9% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| 2016-02-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.8% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +5.9% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +4.6% | -0.5% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +6.8% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | +5.2% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.3% | -1.8% | -4.9% | -2.8% | -0.5% |
| 2015-02-17 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +12.6% | +1.8% | +5.2% | +1.0% | +2.1% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.3% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.4% | +0.5% | +3.9% | -2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.1% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +3.5% | +1.2% |
| 2014-02-18 miss | 0.60 | 0.56 | -7.3% | -2.2% | -4.5% | -2.3% | -1.3% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +4.5% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +5.5% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -2.0% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +2.2% | -1.5% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -1.1% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +2.5% | +7.0% |
| 2013-02-14 miss | 0.60 | 0.57 | -4.6% | -1.8% | +1.4% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.9% | +1.1% | +0.6% | -2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.4% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -6.3% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -6.6% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.1% | -2.1% | -1.7% | +3.5% | +1.1% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.2% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -6.6% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.