WM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.2% | 4.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 25% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.0% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.8% | 4.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +2.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -8.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.74 | 1.81 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -4.3% | -8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.95 | 1.93 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.7% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 2.01 | 1.98 | -1.6% | -6.9% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.89 | 1.92 | +1.8% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -2.5% | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.59 | 1.67 | +5.3% | -2.2% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 1.80 | 1.70 | -5.7% | +2.8% | +6.1% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.88 | 1.96 | +4.0% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 1.83 | 1.82 | -0.6% | -6.7% | -8.0% | +3.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.75 | +16.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 1.53 | 1.74 | +13.7% | +4.5% | +6.0% | +2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.61 | 1.63 | +0.9% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +0.0% | +4.8% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 1.55 | 1.51 | -2.4% | -2.9% | -4.0% | -0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 1.42 | 1.30 | -8.6% | -3.0% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.6% | +1.1% | -3.1% | -3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.39 | 1.44 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +4.3% | +9.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.29 | +13.1% | +6.2% | +5.3% | -2.9% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.4% | -4.5% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 1.36 | 1.26 | -7.5% | -2.1% | -1.2% | +1.2% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.