WSM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -3.1% | 10.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.8% | 2.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -1.9% | 10.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.84 | +37.9% | -4.6% | +1.1% | -6.6% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | 1.80 | 1.93 | +7.3% | +1.1% | +6.5% | +6.1% | +17.8% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 2.90 | 3.04 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -1.2% | +7.9% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.87 | 1.96 | +4.9% | -0.4% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.79 | 2.00 | +11.6% | +3.1% | -2.9% | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 1.75 | 1.85 | +5.5% | -6.8% | -4.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2025-03-19 beat | 2.94 | 3.28 | +11.5% | -8.4% | -3.5% | -0.5% | -16.3% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.76 | 1.96 | +11.1% | +25.3% | +27.5% | -2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.60 | 1.74 | +8.6% | -7.9% | -9.3% | +1.8% | +17.6% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.74 | +27.2% | +9.9% | -11.0% | +3.0% | +9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.