WSM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.6% | +1.1% | 9.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +0.1% | 10.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.84 | +37.9% | -4.6% | +1.1% | -6.6% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | 1.80 | 1.93 | +7.3% | +1.1% | +6.5% | +6.1% | +17.8% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 2.90 | 3.04 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -1.2% | +7.9% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.87 | 1.96 | +4.9% | -0.4% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.79 | 2.00 | +11.6% | +3.1% | -2.9% | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 1.75 | 1.85 | +5.5% | -6.8% | -4.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2025-03-19 beat | 2.94 | 3.28 | +11.5% | -8.4% | -3.5% | -0.5% | -16.3% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.76 | 1.96 | +11.1% | +25.3% | +27.5% | -2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.60 | 1.74 | +8.6% | -7.9% | -9.3% | +1.8% | +17.6% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.74 | +27.2% | +9.9% | -11.0% | +3.0% | +9.9% |
| 2024-03-13 beat | 2.58 | 2.72 | +5.5% | +9.2% | +17.8% | +3.9% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 1.67 | 1.83 | +9.7% | -0.2% | +6.2% | +7.1% | +16.5% |
| 2023-08-23 beat | 1.36 | 1.56 | +14.6% | +5.1% | +13.5% | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-23 miss | 1.19 | 1.18 | -1.7% | +4.0% | -0.3% | +1.5% | +7.4% |
| 2023-03-16 miss | 2.75 | 2.64 | -3.9% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2022-11-17 miss | 1.87 | 1.86 | -0.5% | -10.4% | -6.2% | -4.8% | -5.7% |
| 2022-08-24 beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +10.4% | +3.4% | +2.2% | -11.5% | -27.0% |
| 2022-05-25 beat | 1.44 | 1.75 | +21.1% | +9.5% | +13.1% | -4.4% | -8.9% |
| 2022-03-16 beat | 2.41 | 2.71 | +12.4% | +9.8% | +5.4% | -8.7% | -12.1% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% | -4.5% | -22.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.