CIVI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +0.8% | 8.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.1% | 3.2% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +5.3% | 13.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.28 | 1.93 | +51.2% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +4.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.08 | 0.99 | -8.4% | +11.3% | +8.0% | +12.5% | +11.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +7.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 1.99 | 1.78 | -10.6% | -8.0% | -18.2% | -14.4% | -10.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.07 | 1.99 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -12.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.75 | 2.06 | -25.0% | -7.9% | -9.9% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.53 | 2.74 | +8.3% | +0.7% | +7.0% | +0.9% | -10.0% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 2.82 | 2.20 | -21.9% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +12.4% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.61 | 3.02 | +15.3% | -5.1% | -5.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.71 | 2.05 | +19.7% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +6.8% | +15.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.