CIVI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 5.6% | 61% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 4.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 3.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +1.8% | 10.4% | 59% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.28 | 1.93 | +51.2% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +4.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.08 | 0.99 | -8.4% | +11.3% | +8.0% | +12.5% | +11.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +7.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 1.99 | 1.78 | -10.6% | -8.0% | -18.2% | -14.4% | -10.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.07 | 1.99 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -12.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.75 | 2.06 | -25.0% | -7.9% | -9.9% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.53 | 2.74 | +8.3% | +0.7% | +7.0% | +0.9% | -10.0% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 2.82 | 2.20 | -21.9% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +12.4% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.61 | 3.02 | +15.3% | -5.1% | -5.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.71 | 2.05 | +19.7% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +6.8% | +15.5% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.02 | 2.21 | +9.4% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 2.58 | 2.49 | -3.6% | +8.8% | +13.1% | +3.9% | -8.4% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 3.53 | 3.56 | +1.0% | +2.0% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 3.98 | 4.63 | +16.4% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +13.5% | +16.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 2.16 | 2.51 | +16.2% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -9.6% | +28.6% |
| 2022-03-08 miss | 1.84 | — | -100.1% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +9.0% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.57 | 1.79 | +14.0% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +4.1% | -9.0% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 1.28 | 1.19 | -6.9% | -2.5% | +4.0% | -10.4% | +12.9% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.88 | +17.6% | -0.1% | +7.9% | +9.5% | +25.5% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.76 | 0.50 | -34.5% | -0.2% | -7.5% | +38.0% | +49.9% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% | +4.6% | -7.3% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +6.0% | +7.0% | +0.6% | -7.0% | +19.7% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 1.27 | 1.42 | +11.8% | +1.4% | +3.6% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 1.46 | 1.62 | +11.0% | +2.0% | +7.0% | -4.9% | +9.3% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 1.31 | 1.56 | +18.8% | -0.5% | +4.0% | +2.9% | -21.5% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 1.34 | 1.18 | -11.9% | -4.0% | -7.7% | -6.3% | -12.3% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.64 | 1.07 | +67.2% | +7.8% | +5.7% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2018-03-14 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.3% | +1.6% | -2.6% | +5.5% | +3.3% |
| 2017-11-08 beat | 0.24 | 0.67 | +175.3% | +2.6% | -2.7% | -0.1% | -12.4% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | -0.13 | 0.27 | +307.7% | +2.5% | +4.4% | -8.8% | -2.4% |
| 2017-05-10 beat | -0.22 | — | +98.6% | +2.4% | +1.4% | -3.0% | -9.5% |
| 2017-03-15 miss | -35.95 | -63.61 | -76.9% | +0.0% | -6.1% | -1.9% | -13.9% |
| 2016-11-09 miss | -29.75 | -39.06 | -31.3% | +0.0% | +5.7% | +9.7% | +46.2% |
| 2016-08-01 miss | -29.71 | -44.64 | -50.2% | -23.7% | -3.7% | +6.5% | +32.5% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | -71.29 | -51.33 | +28.0% | -2.3% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -18.6% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | -14.24 | -6.70 | +53.0% | +1.2% | +6.1% | -3.0% | -20.6% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 31.07 | 26.78 | -13.8% | +1.2% | -7.8% | -5.3% | -8.9% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 57.15 | 51.33 | -10.2% | -4.7% | +0.1% | -9.8% | -52.6% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 76.21 | 58.03 | -23.9% | -4.7% | +1.1% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 58.23 | 51.33 | -11.8% | -4.4% | -8.2% | +8.9% | +35.7% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 68.76 | 72.53 | +5.5% | +5.3% | +7.6% | +0.8% | -11.1% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 56.41 | 70.30 | +24.6% | +2.0% | +6.8% | +2.5% | -13.0% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 48.54 | 30.13 | -37.9% | -4.4% | +0.5% | -4.7% | +13.2% |
| 2013-05-09 miss | 46.59 | 44.64 | -4.2% | -6.8% | -2.9% | +6.4% | +2.1% |
| 2013-03-14 beat | 42.61 | 43.52 | +2.1% | +0.7% | +2.0% | -5.3% | -14.8% |
| 2012-11-09 miss | 41.55 | 41.29 | -0.6% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -5.5% | +11.0% |
| 2012-08-13 beat | 33.48 | 35.71 | +6.7% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +10.8% | +27.1% |
| 2012-05-10 miss | 33.29 | 31.24 | -6.2% | -3.4% | +3.6% | -12.7% | -23.8% |
| 2012-03-22 miss | 21.02 | -1.12 | -105.3% | +0.1% | +5.8% | +13.9% | +4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.