CIVI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 6.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +0.2% | 5.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 3.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +5.3% | 12.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.28 | 1.93 | +51.2% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +4.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.08 | 0.99 | -8.4% | +11.3% | +8.0% | +12.5% | +11.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +7.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 1.99 | 1.78 | -10.6% | -8.0% | -18.2% | -14.4% | -10.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.07 | 1.99 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -12.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.75 | 2.06 | -25.0% | -7.9% | -9.9% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.53 | 2.74 | +8.3% | +0.7% | +7.0% | +0.9% | -10.0% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 2.82 | 2.20 | -21.9% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +12.4% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.61 | 3.02 | +15.3% | -5.1% | -5.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.71 | 2.05 | +19.7% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +6.8% | +15.5% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.02 | 2.21 | +9.4% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 2.58 | 2.49 | -3.6% | +8.8% | +13.1% | +3.9% | -8.4% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 3.53 | 3.56 | +1.0% | +2.0% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 3.98 | 4.63 | +16.4% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +13.5% | +16.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 2.16 | 2.51 | +16.2% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -9.6% | +28.6% |
| 2022-03-08 miss | 1.84 | — | -100.1% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +9.0% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.57 | 1.79 | +14.0% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +4.1% | -9.0% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 1.28 | 1.19 | -6.9% | -2.5% | +4.0% | -10.4% | +12.9% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.88 | +17.6% | -0.1% | +7.9% | +9.5% | +25.5% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.76 | 0.50 | -34.5% | -0.2% | -7.5% | +38.0% | +49.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.