EXEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.2% | +3.2% | 11.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.7% | 2.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +6.0% | +9.6% | 13.4% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +5.2% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -3.0% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.0% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +16.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.2% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +8.0% | +9.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | -13.8% | -16.8% | +1.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-05-13 beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +39.8% | +10.0% | +20.8% | -2.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +11.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +7.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.0% | +9.3% | +12.9% | +9.5% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.84 | +129.8% | +6.6% | +13.1% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -40.6% | -7.8% | -6.5% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.