EXEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 9.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 1.9% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +1.4% | 11.3% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +5.2% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -3.0% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.0% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +16.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.2% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +8.0% | +9.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | -13.8% | -16.8% | +1.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-05-13 beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +39.8% | +10.0% | +20.8% | -2.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +11.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +7.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.0% | +9.3% | +12.9% | +9.5% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.84 | +129.8% | +6.6% | +13.1% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -40.6% | -7.8% | -6.5% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.8% | -3.4% | -7.6% | +1.0% | +10.1% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.4% | -2.6% | -4.2% | +4.4% | +11.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +1.4% | +10.1% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -27.6% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.9% | -1.7% | +2.7% | +0.1% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +30.8% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -3.6% | +2.2% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +14.6% | +3.1% | -7.4% | -1.0% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.6% | -2.8% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -8.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.16 | 0.35 | +125.0% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -24.5% | -10.4% | -12.1% | -4.7% | -17.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.