EXEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.0% | 7.9% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 3.6% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 5.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +0.0% | 14.4% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +5.2% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -3.0% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.0% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +16.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.2% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +8.0% | +9.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | -13.8% | -16.8% | +1.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-05-13 beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +39.8% | +10.0% | +20.8% | -2.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +11.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +7.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.0% | +9.3% | +12.9% | +9.5% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.84 | +129.8% | +6.6% | +13.1% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -40.6% | -7.8% | -6.5% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.8% | -3.4% | -7.6% | +1.0% | +10.1% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.4% | -2.6% | -4.2% | +4.4% | +11.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +1.4% | +10.1% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -27.6% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.9% | -1.7% | +2.7% | +0.1% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +30.8% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -3.6% | +2.2% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +14.6% | +3.1% | -7.4% | -1.0% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.6% | -2.8% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -8.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.16 | 0.35 | +125.0% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -24.5% | -10.4% | -12.1% | -4.7% | -17.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.37 | +166.7% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +6.0% | +13.2% |
| 2021-05-06 | 0.09 | 0.09 | — | +0.8% | +8.1% | +1.8% | -11.5% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +37.0% | -1.1% | -4.2% | +0.6% | +9.5% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -6.4% | -5.2% | -6.5% | -2.7% | -7.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.14 | 0.25 | +77.2% | +1.5% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -7.4% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +10.1% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +1.3% | -14.6% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +22.1% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +6.4% | -7.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.34 | +51.6% | -2.2% | -11.1% | -1.9% | +8.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.7% | +1.9% | -4.1% | +3.0% | -2.6% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +4.4% | -2.7% | -2.9% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +61.9% | +6.8% | +1.7% | -3.8% | +11.2% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.17 | 0.41 | +141.2% | +19.1% | +16.5% | -4.3% | +18.1% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.28 | +75.0% | +2.4% | +9.2% | -7.6% | -16.1% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.15 | 0.37 | +146.7% | +7.1% | +7.8% | -16.5% | -9.4% |
| 2018-02-26 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | -3.2% | -8.2% | -9.2% | -17.5% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.07 | 0.26 | +288.6% | +9.5% | +5.3% | +0.9% | +8.0% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +168.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +2.9% | +12.7% |
| 2017-05-01 beat | — | 0.05 | +1260.1% | +3.7% | +0.0% | -5.7% | -17.7% |
| 2017-02-27 beat | -0.04 | 0.12 | +392.8% | -6.0% | -6.8% | +3.3% | -1.9% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +108.0% | +6.9% | +16.8% | +37.7% | +53.2% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | -0.25 | -0.16 | +38.4% | +6.8% | +17.9% | -3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2016-05-04 miss | -0.21 | -0.27 | -27.8% | -0.9% | +8.3% | +10.7% | +56.3% |
| 2016-02-29 beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +12.7% | +16.2% | +5.2% | +1.0% | +4.4% |
| 2015-11-10 miss | -0.16 | -0.22 | -35.8% | -4.4% | -9.3% | +1.0% | -16.6% |
| 2015-08-11 miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -3.8% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -2.2% | +1.0% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | -0.24 | -0.18 | +25.0% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +21.2% | +18.0% |
| 2015-02-24 beat | -0.30 | -0.30 | +1.3% | -7.1% | +0.0% | +13.4% | -7.4% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +15.1% | +4.2% | +3.0% | +6.5% | -17.1% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | -0.37 | -0.37 | -0.4% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +0.5% | -55.8% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | -0.35 | -0.39 | -12.2% | -0.6% | -5.7% | +3.9% | -2.7% |
| 2014-02-20 miss | -0.38 | -0.38 | -0.5% | -2.8% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -10.7% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | -0.37 | -0.36 | +1.7% | +0.6% | -3.0% | -4.1% | +18.5% |
| 2013-08-06 miss | -0.28 | -0.33 | -21.8% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -2.0% | +8.6% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | -0.27 | -0.24 | +10.7% | +1.7% | +7.4% | -4.7% | -2.8% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | -0.26 | -0.24 | +5.4% | -1.9% | -5.2% | +2.9% | +5.2% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | -0.32 | -0.19 | +39.7% | -0.2% | -2.8% | +2.8% | -3.5% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +15.1% | -0.3% | -5.7% | -20.1% | -16.3% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +12.2% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +12.8% | +5.5% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | -0.18 | 0.37 | +304.2% | +1.3% | -7.7% | +4.4% | -7.2% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.9% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -43.9% | -45.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.